Scenarios for San Leandro

On June 1st of this year, 28 people in San Leandro, California gathered for an adventure in looking into our future. The result of that day, plus some ongoing thinking and analysis by a small, dedicated group of authors, produced our report: Scenarios for San Leandro: Stories About Our Future. Continue reading

UC2012: Data… Information… Decision-Making: Tackling the Sustainable Energy Management Conundrum

Themes for today: how to exploit process data, managing energy. Energy a performace data approach–great case study. Issues in 2012 and Energy Efficiency: need to develop a sustainable route forward. We’ve had too many “last times.”

Pressures from outside: energy cost & pressure on operating costs, emissions (including perceptions) and desire for green manufacturing, EU 2020 targets to reduce by 20% in energy, emissions, and get 20% from renewables. We’re not on track though (more like 20% over current). Europe legislation: EU directive on industrial emissions and Draft EU Directive on Energy Efficiency (June 2011). Common theme is systematic energy performnce management–moving toward making it mandatory, also external energy auditing for manufacturing sites. Continue reading

Calculating Catastrophe

Calculating Catastrophe, a book by Gordon Woo

Calculating Catastrophe

Another quick note: this book looks fascinating. The table of contents alone is worth a read.

Calculating Catastrophe has been written to explain, to a general readership, the underlying philosophical ideas and scientific principles that govern catastrophic events, both natural and man-made. Knowledge of the broad range of catastrophes deepens understanding of individual modes of disaster. This book will be of interest to anyone aspiring to understand catastrophes better, but will be of particular value to those engaged in public and corporate policy, and the financial markets.

Mathematics is, of course, one framework for analyzing and discussing catastrophe. I’m curious how Dr. Woo describes (or calculates) the cost of lost lives.

Scenario Planning: Starting Somewhere

Head in Hands by Alex E. Proimos

California has just experienced The Big One. Rather, several big earthquakes up and down the coastal state have disconnected life as usual.

Picture this: most of the freeways are broken, disconnected, and not functional for long stretches. Many hospitals, fire departments, and public and private buildings that were located on fault lines have been devastated and destroyed. Large metropolitan city centers have crumbled. The electric grid has been pulled into pieces that can no longer supply power reliably across the neighborhoods. Similarly the natural gas grid is offline to prevent more buildings from blowing up. Continue reading